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Market News Global Stocks And U.S. Treasury Yields Decline; Fed Minutes Are Deemed 'Outdated'
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Global Stocks And U.S. Treasury Yields Decline; Fed Minutes Are Deemed 'Outdated'

Author Avatar TOPONE Markets Analyst
2023-02-23 11:29:10

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The minutes revealed that a firm majority of Fed policymakers concurred that it was appropriate for the central bank to raise rates by 25 basis points, while reiterating that the inflation outlook would continue to dictate further rate actions. Only a few officials supported a 50 basis point rate increase.

 

But since then, robust economic data have demonstrated the resilience of the U.S. economy and increased concerns about a prolonged rate-tightening cycle.

 

According to Moustapha Mounah, portfolio manager at James Investments in Dayton, Ohio, "The minutes are a little out-of-date due to the data that came out after the Fed discussion, and it's not as important as people believe."

 

The MSCI world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS), which measures shares in 50 countries, was down 0.45%. European stocks (.STOXX) fell 0.33 percent.

 

Following the release of the Fed's minutes, Wall Street equities ended a volatile session lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 0.26% to 33,045.09, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 0.16% to 3,991.05 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 0.13% to 11,507.07.

 

U.S. Treasury yields fell after rising to three-month highs. After the publication of the minutes, benchmark 10-year yields increased, but remained lower at 3.9273%.

 

"The bond market has already priced in additional rate increases, but the stock market has not yet repriced to reflect the entire movement in rates," Mounah continued.

 

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, a non-voting member of the Fed's rate-setting committee this year, on Wednesday reiterated his view that a Fed policy rate in the range of 5.25% to 5.5% would be adequate to bring inflation toward the central bank's 2% objective.

 

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, which measures the difference between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes and is used as an indicator of economic expectations, remained profoundly inverted at minus 77.90 basis points.

 

Thomas Hayes, chairman of Great Hill Capital in New York, stated, "If the most hawkish person, who is a non-voting member, is at 75 basis points of additional hikes, then maybe the consensus is 50 basis points, which is a little lower than the market."

 

Despite Fed rate hikes, the U.S. dollar appreciated due to the unexpected strength of the American economy disclosed in recent economic data. The dollar index increased by 0.346%, while the euro increased by 0.03% to $1.0604.

 

As the Fed continues to raise interest rates in an effort to curb soaring consumer prices, oil prices declined by 2% due to rising concerns about oil demand. Brent crude futures settled 3% lower at $80.60 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) decreased by 3% to close at $74.05 per barrel.

 

Gold prices decreased as the U.S. dollar appreciated. Spot gold decreased by 0.01% to $1,824.86 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures decreased by 0.43 % to $1,830.00 per ounce.


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