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Market News Federal Reserve voting members are taking a hawkish stance, raising the probability of a September rate hike to 80%!
Markets News
Federal Reserve voting members are taking a hawkish stance, raising the probability of a September rate hike to 80%!
TOPONE Markets Analyst2026-07-01 08:34:23
Hot spot tracking
- Federal Reserve Chairman Hamak: Inflation remains too high, and a rate hike may need to be considered; interest rate futures indicate that the probability of a Fed rate hike in September has risen to 80%. This news is bullish for the US dollar.
- Reports indicate that OpenAI has found an optimal solution that can halve the cost of AI inference. It is understood that the US will lift export controls on the AI model Fable on the evening of the 30th local time. This news is positive for OpenAI.
- US JOLTs job openings in May were 7.594 million, below the expected 7.3 million and the previous month's figure was revised from 7.618 million to 7.585 million. This news is bullish for the US dollar.
Product Hot Comment
ForexProduct Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open EUR/USD ▼-0.11% 1.14095 1.14221 GBP/USD ▼-0.09% 1.32467 1.32587 AUD/USD ▼-0.18% 0.69054 0.6918 USD/JPY ▲0.07% 162.689 162.569 GBP/CAD ▲0.12% 1.88316 1.88083 NZD/CAD ▲0.07% 0.80642 0.80589 📝 Review:On Tuesday, the U.S. dollar index traded sideways above 101 as the market increasingly priced in the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike, ultimately closing up 0.03% at 101.16. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.47%, while the 2-year Treasury yield, which is sensitive to the Fed's policy rate, closed at 4.183%.🕵️ Operation suggestion:USD/JPY 162.642 Buy Target Price 163.145
GoldProduct Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open Gold ▼-0.46% 4000.67 4019.15 Silver ▼-0.65% 58.207 58.59 📝 Review:Market concerns over the US-Iran memorandum of understanding caused spot gold to close down 0.22% at $4,007.82 per ounce, marking its first quarterly decline since 2024 and its largest quarterly drop since the second quarter of 2013; spot silver closed up 0.48% at $58.58 per ounce.🕵️ Operation suggestion:Gold 4005.94 Sell Target Price 3932.01
Crude OilProduct Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open WTI Crude Oil ▲0.11% 70.017 69.937 Brent Crude Oil ▼-0.16% 73.352 73.468 📝 Review:International oil prices remained near their lowest levels since the start of the conflict as hostilities between the United States and Iran subsided and a fragile ceasefire was established. WTI crude oil ultimately closed down 0.56% at $70.26 per barrel; Brent crude oil recorded its biggest quarterly drop since 2020, ultimately closing down 0.5% at $73.38 per barrel.🕵️ Operation suggestion:WTI Crude Oil 69.869 Sell Target Price 67.895
IndiceProduct Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open Nasdaq 100 ▲0.08% 30277.25 30253.35 Dow Jones ▲0.03% 52240 52224 S&P 500 ▼-0.11% 7482.25 7490.35 US Dollar Index ▲0.02% 101.13 101.11 📝 Review:U.S. stocks closed up 0.26%, the S&P 500 up 0.78%, and the Nasdaq up 1.52%. Apple (AAPL.O) and Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose by around 2%, Micron Technology (MU.O) rose nearly 1%, SpaceX (SPCX.O) rose 4%, and SanDisk (SNDK.O) rose over 10%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 0.63%, and XPeng Motors (XPEV.N) rose 3.4%.🕵️ Operation suggestion:Nasdaq 100 30238.250 Buy Target Price 30640.380
Calendar
20:15 (GMT+8): US June ADP Employment Change- 22:00 (GMT+8): US June ISM Manufacturing PMI
- 22:30 (GMT+8): US EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the week ending June 26
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